Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
crockpot,
What are your estimated game lines for this series? King Yao has given his guesstimates as Game 1 66.0%, Game 2 63.0%, Game 3 54.0%, Game 4 50.0%, Game 5 58.0%, Game 6 63.0%, and Game 7 62.0%. These equate to a 70% series win for BOS, which is close to the observed market price.
Your odds seem to be giving BOS a lower probability of winning Game 1 but a higher probability of winning Game 4. I'm curious where else you differ to get a higher series win percentage for BOS.
|