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Old 10-23-2007, 12:16 AM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Default Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ

[ QUOTE ]
Interesting stuff Mogwai. Is the cover percentage ATS roughly 50%? The percentage that the teaser wins isn't nearly as significant as the percentage that hits on the teaser's "sweet spot."

For instance, if the subset went 55% ATS for some reason, of course we'd expect to see the subset's teased lines jump 5% as well. This leads to a false expectation of +EV for these teasers since betting straight up ATS might be better.

J

[/ QUOTE ]

You are correct. The ATS is high in his sample.
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