Re: There are worse plays than this one right?
Don't like it.
Most players like this, might be loose / tilty, but don't have a death wish. Effects of tilt can often be massively over estimated.
Secondly its quite possible, even likely he holds something such as TT, JJ and is scared of an overcard. He might be aware of his image and play a set like this as well.
Thirdly in terms of the range you beat, its air. You're assuming he hit ANY of the board, you're at best drawing to approx 7 outs (BDF counts as about 1 out), so you're around a 70/30 dog in that spot. Same goes for PP's.
Fourth - This is a cash game. Villian will still be there, why make hero calls like this if he is playing like you say. You will get his money eventually, and this is a very very marginal play. Tons of better spots to get your money in then this. Patience is the key.
Fifth, what does you're cbet fold out, that a smaller one wouldn't. I think you're burning money by betting the pot here. Rule of bluffing is bet the least that will get the job done, and a cbet is a glorified solid bluff. Betting out 7/8 will vast majority of the time get him to fold any missed cards he is going to fold, and reraise / call what he is going to call. You're just pricing yourself into trouble.
|