Re: UFC 77 Discussion thread
Obviously no time for a long winded writeup, but for what it's worth...
Silva NO PLAY Line is good. Franklin's hand is healed, he knows to avoid the clinch, judges will award him close rounds. (OK, OK... I'll have a little on Silva, but that's because I love the guy, not because the bet is +EV)
Timmah +156 1.5u to win 2.34u. Vera is unexperienced against quality, likely has rust... Timmah has good chin, longer reach, more power, and only 3 rounds to avoid gassing.
Okami -251 1.88u to win .75u. McDonald is a slob in the gas/determination department. A very talented slob, but a slob nonetheless. Okami grinds decision.
Robinson +156 .5u to win .78u.
Belcher +106 .75u to win .8u.
Does anyone else think that in the #78 Bisping / Evans fight that Bisping +250 (5dimes) is a godsend? While the gameplan for Evans is obvious (Bisping couldn't strike and defend strikes and takedowns at the same time, he's an either/or kind of guy), Rashad winning 72% of the time seems a little over-blown... Do books not think Bisping will be training for this specifically so as not to have that happen again?
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