Re: Worth semi-bluff on the turn?
Villain has a funny line here. It is almost mandatory to continuebet here and he doesn't. Doesn't this smell? What are your read on his continuebets?
The problem betting on the turn is that he can raise you and you will be forced to call it paying way too much for your draw. If he is an unpredictable type I prefer to keep the pot low minimicing his opportunities to force me to make mistakes. That said we may have up to 15 outs and we may call a bet.
Conclusion: A bet could be a mistake, but if we checkcall that can almost never be a mistake.
1) If he bluffs a hand like JT he will pay to much for his draw when we correctly call
2) If he bets a made flush we will call incorrectly but unlikely
3)If he bets a lower pocket we will not fail by calling
4) If he checks we will get a freecard.
So is it worth betting really when we will have an easy river decision if we just checkcall og checkcheck the turn.
Let the others make the hard decisions not us.
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