Re: $50 JJ Can I play this profitably?
You are ahead of range here... and everyone wants you to fold against an "unknown". [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]
Put yourself in villain's seat with the following hands:
88
JT
A9
(I'm not saying this is complete range)
With any of these hands I want to get to showdown semi-cheaply. If I call Cbet, I can usually expect a second barrel around half pot so in this case, second barrel will be $7-9 maybe $10ish. I want to be the aggressor so I will call the turn bet ON THE FLOP by raising flop to $12 as this villain did.
I am now the aggressor in position and get to see all five cards for the price of two. I LOVE playing IP [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]
OTOH, I like to float ALOT! so a call to see if Hero is going to 2nd barrel is often my play.
Recap: You are ahead here >50% but you are OOP with a one pair hand. You can lose any number of ways. Prudent to fold.
BTW, $4 into is WAY too weak for a CBet when OOP. Let's AT LEAST bet $5.50 (79%). TBH, I'm PSB OOP all day long here.
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