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Old 10-19-2007, 04:06 PM
thoman8r thoman8r is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bala Cynwyd, PA
Posts: 299
Default Re: aces vs weaktight.com

This is an interesting hand.

The only straight I can see him having is TT. I guess he could have KsQs but does he really call a 3-bet with that if he's weak-tight? A 0.8 is probably not bluffing, but that doesn't necessarily mean you should fold. Possible holdings:

1. a set (77,88,99,JJ)
2. a straight (TT)
3. an overpair (QQ,KK)

Now you might look at that and think you are in bad shape, but look at the equity you have against this range!

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,364 games 0.005 secs 272,800 games/sec

Board: 9s Jd 7s 8s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.953% 47.36% 03.59% 646 49.00 { AhAs }
Hand 1: 49.047% 45.45% 03.59% 620 49.00 { 77+ }

Given this I think c/c might be the best option because he is never folding anything that beats us if we lead and he might fold QQ or KK on a flop like this.
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