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Old 10-19-2007, 03:00 PM
sylar sylar is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
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Default Re: Torre is back

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But SABR analysis doesn't answer everything. It doesn't explain Bucky Dent, for instance.

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This is a horrible line of reasoning. It's basically [insert something improbable here], explain that, smart guy! Improbable things happen. Sabr never claims to have Miss Cleo like forcasting abilities, it's not a baseball superuser. It just looks at what players have done in the past, use various methods of projecting future performance, and then sit back and watch the game. Just because someone is unlikely to win the lottery does not mean that statistics are wrong because someone does, in fact win the lottery.

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i think if he said shane spencer instead of bucky dent, it would at least be marginally more interesting of his seriously flawed "theory".

1) you'd have to look up shane spencer and what exactly he did for the yanks.
2) you'd have a whooping 67 AB sample, as opposed to 1 for Dent.
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