[aaronbeen]

re: wizard of odds

1) There's no reason why a player should expect to win a number of pots equal to the number of hands divided by avg number players. The more pots a player enters the more he wins. A 89%+ VPIP player is supposed to win a lot of pots, he's just also supposed to lose all his money back in the pots he loses.

2) He's ignoring background probability/not defining his events properly. You could use the same types of arguments to claim that the chances of any compound sequence of unlikely events is a miracle. Start with a list of lightning strikes and calculate how likely it was that lightning struck location one at time one AND location two at time two etc.

edit: right suzzer