Re: Optimal time for squeeze?
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Hello. This seems very close to me either way. The best you'd be hoping for with the squeeze obviously is both of them folding. If you get one caller you're probably toast. If you get two callers pack your bags.
I'd pick fold>squeeze>call.
I'd squeeze if I had 77's or better though... for sure.
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Umm I'd be willing to bet 77 does identical v. villain's (either one) calling range as does 22. You're not getting called by any pair between 22 and 77, so who cares. 77 is obviously slightly better because it doesn't get counterfitted as often when the board double pairs, but, umm, how often does that happen?
Anyway, I don't like this spot much due to the fact that villain raised UTG and without a read that he's opening from here fairly frequently I think he's calling us with the vast majority of his range and we do poorly against it. More FE would help us, especially against middle pairs (obviously) but considering he can call our shove, lose the hand, and still be table CL, I'm not sure how much FE we have, especially since we have a read that he has noticed us making adjustments (like a good spot to squeeze in) and adjusted his play. Finally, the second guy is also pretty likely to get involved with hands like 77-99 hoping with have overs and getting a nice overlay, even if the UTG raise was with a marginal hand. The second guy is going to be getting a really nice price when it gets to him. I really want to find a squeeze here because we could really use the chips, I just don't think they both fold very often at all.
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