Re: two semibluffs
a few thoughts:
hand 1.
Board: Ks Qs 7d 3h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.705% 26.70% 00.00% 141 0.00 { 6s4s }
Hand 1: 73.295% 73.30% 00.00% 387 0.00 { KJs, KJo }
73.3/26.7 = 2.75:1
pretty much any cr i make commits me to calling a shove, so i don't see a reason to make a smaller raise. fwiw, i'd play a set of kings the same way (if i were to check the turn).
and i don't think he's calling with KJ/KT; i could be wrong.
hand 2.
fwiw, i'd make the same size bet with AA here (if not more). and it's not so much that i think the ten is a scare card. my thinking is that he can't call this bet because he didn't raise the flop, which was drawy. by the same logic, shoving the river is probably good if he calls the turn bet.
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