Re: QQ overpair turn decision.
I would need more than stats to lay this down here. If you have a solid read that this guy is really, really passive with all but the nuts, you might be able to muck it, but I don't think that's the case.
You didn't cap the flop (I would have.) If he fires again, then it might mean more, but since he was the last aggressor the last betting round, I think this is definitely a must-call scenario. I think you find AJ and KJ here very often. If he has JJ, J8 or 88, you have 2 (or more outs, in the case of two pair.)
I don't really want to see those cards hit the muck, TBH.
Honestly, as played, I would raise the turn. Knock out the SB and take the free SD if you're scared. If he treys, well, then you puke (and probably call.) I've been a bit spewy at times, so this may be rubbish, FWIW.
|