Re: * * New Theory of Poker Study Group Session 2 * *
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Ok, I don't have the book in front of me, but in the pot odds section there is a hand. Hero has AcTc. It looks like the game is limit hold'em and the hero is in BB. It also looks like there are 4-5 people in the pot.
Board is AQ9 (2 spades)
Small blind bets, hero folds?
Sklansky's explanation is that we still have opponents to act behind us that might raise and re-raise and our odds are not good, because our kicker is bad.
Isn't this advice a bit weak?
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It depends...but in a typical ring game this is a perfect example of reversed implied odds. Even if you currently have the best hand you will rarely end up with the best hand. If we start to list out possible hands your opponents may have (AK-AJ, KQ, KJ, any 2 spades, etc) we start to see even if we are currently ahead we could lose if any spade/face card comes on the turn. In addition, we are out of position and could already be behind. For these reasons I think folding is the best line here.
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