[Rocco]

[ QUOTE ]
probability to flop 2 pairs: 2%
probability to flop trips: 1,35%

you pay 60 and have about 1400 left - this is 4,2%

and this calculation assumes that you get all your chips in the middle, which won't be possible anytime, and there are times when you hold 2 pairs (which almost alway will be bottom 2) and loose.

so in the long run this is a -EV play imo.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't agree this is a -EV play, you're being too nitty if you fold here IMO. In addition to two pair and trips, I also mentioned a strong draw. You have 12% chance of hitting a flush draw and I guess something eqaully to hit a straight draw. Out of these I consider 1 pair plus draw is pretty strong and I tend to play them aggressively.