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Old 10-18-2007, 05:08 AM
levAA levAA is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Black Pearl
Posts: 1,202
Default Re: $10 mtt on FTP - 6max

probability to flop 2 pairs: 2%
probability to flop trips: 1,35%

you pay 60 and have about 1400 left - this is 4,2%

and this calculation assumes that you get all your chips in the middle, which won't be possible anytime, and there are times when you hold 2 pairs (which almost alway will be bottom 2) and loose.

so in the long run this is a -EV play imo.
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