View Single Post
  #8  
Old 10-17-2007, 09:28 AM
mute mute is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Denmark
Posts: 3,063
Default Re: how i can calculate if a river call make or lose money ?.....

[ QUOTE ]
for first thanks to all and please excuse me for bad english language....
Wolfram :thanks to you ,I now understand that "When you're at the river, you don't take the action on previous streets into account to calculate expected value"

example:

at river i call with higmidpair a single bet(1$) for 1000
times,
my total spent is 1000$

in this 1000 times i win 300 pot ,the sum of this 300 pot-win is 1200$
my total win is 1200$

formula:
monet spent for river call=RC
sum of pot win=PW
total is=PW-RC 200$

ok?
i think this is correct,you can confim ?

[/ QUOTE ]

Not quite right since you don't "spend" 1000$ by calling the river. You get your money back when you win.

Here's a simpler way:

Potsize is 4 bets. You win 3/10 times and lose 7/10 times.

(3*4) - (7*1)/10 = 0.5 bets

So you win 0.5 bets by calling (or 500$ if you did it 1000 times).

EDIT: What mvoss said.
Reply With Quote