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Old 10-16-2007, 05:36 PM
Post-Oak Post-Oak is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 899
Default Re: NFL undefeated season prop

[ QUOTE ]
when NWE has nothing to play for.

[/ QUOTE ]

So a 15-0 team has nothing to play for?

A 14-1 team has nothing to play for. A 15-0 team will be playing to set the new NFL record for an undefeated season (yes, I know the Dolphins were 14-0).

I don't disgaree that we can see benchings in Week 16 and 17 (especially 17, which is on the road). That is to say, a few guys might only play 3 quarters or so over the last 2 weeks.

Now look at the numbers I provided. Is betting on this prop hoping the Pats will be benching starters really worth it?

I can see betting this prop if you think the available lines are bad (which you allude to), but the whole "starters will be benched" angle is pure square-think.

And you would be better off just betting on NYG -7 in Week 17 anyway.
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