Re: value shove v. hazards, HU 10/25...
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He has afive and is hoping you're firing a king here on the turn so he can stack you, fold.
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there is no way he has a 5 here. he can have 77, he is raising this flop sooooooo often with a 5, look how deep we are, he wants to stack 77-qq and doesn't want to let a scare card off on flop this deep, and he would also want to build a pot. he doesn't have a 5 the VAST majority of the time. he could have 77, obv. obviously this is opponent and match-specific. but i am pretty damn sure he doesn't have a 5. he is not raising turn with a 7 unless it's K7, also probably not raising qq, i think u can also rule out mid pairs pretty much.
that leaves turned kings, turned FD, maybe 68, 64hh, and occasional aces/boats. and Ax he's turned into a bluff.
what now?
fwiw: i agree with chaos that this is chk-call turn/chk fold river. but i decided to bet turn.
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