Re: check raise w/ a wheel/#2/#3 after 3rd draw
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please give us the exact action pre-first draw, your explanation is confusing.
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called a raise[2bets] from Seb in the cutoff
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thats a fold, not a call. Feel free to call in the BB as a blind defense, but in the SB your gonna get hurt when you call there.
on the river bet your hand. Your going to make more $$$ in the long run by betting the river than you will be c/r.
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I think you need to have some river check-raises in your range. Otherwise your opponent will take you to value-town whenever you check (unless, of course, you check-fold a lot which is also bad.)
I wrote a tool a while back that solves (using game theory) last-round betting after a 1:1 draw, over a range of hands. (This is different from previous results which examined just a known draw for each player.) Approximate game-theoretic solution for 5 bets in the pot:
check-fold: 16.8%
check-call: 36.4%
check-raise-fold: 1.9%
check-raise-call: 5.9%
check-raise-raise: 0.9%
bet-fold: 10.7%
bet-call: 22.5%
bet-raise-fold: 0.8%
bet-raise-call: 4.2%
With 75432, this particular solution is betting about 1/3 of the time but check-raising the other 2/3 of time.
Now, you might argue that you exploit your opponents' tendencies better by betting always, but I think you will actually get paid off a lot by check-raising.
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