Re: [10NL] - AA - good laydown on scary board?
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bad fold. chk behind on turn is ok, but only if your plan is to call any reasonable river bet. you chk turn behind to keep the pot small in a dangerous situation and you invite him to bluff river. it's a good way to get value from worse hands. think about his range. a player who plays so many hands agressively will bet into you with way more that just a K. think about how he perceives your play, you raise pf, cbet and then shut down, same thing you would have done w 33 or AQ etc. you've massively underrepresented your hand.
He calls your cbet w several draws, 8, 9, 89, or worse at least as often as with a K. him having a K is statistically unlikely once the turn paired it.
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i think you hit the nail on the head here.
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You are getting 3 to 1, so you only have to win 25% of the time to break even on a call here
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this is a great point. breaking a hand down the way these two posters do will improve your game to no-end.
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