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Old 10-14-2007, 11:38 PM
almostbusto almostbusto is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: unemployed
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Default Re: 25-50 HP... AK and stuck

turn raise is a spew
river bet is a spew

the turn raise is bad because in a passive game it ensures that you are going to only get one bet in on the river when you actually make your hand. i rather get 3 bets in when you are way ahead and 2 bets (or perhaps 1 if you elect to fold the river) when you are a dog/slight dog to his range rather than 3 bets regardless . you overestimate your folding equity. the additional equity gained by raising is not sufficient to justify a raise because you aren't really going to be folding better hands, just hands that have a moderate number of outs against you.

river bet is bad because it is not a value bet and there aren't a reasonable amount of better hands that you are folding after the villian calls the turn raise.
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