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Old 10-13-2007, 08:24 PM
Matt Flynn Matt Flynn is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Badugi, USA
Posts: 3,285
Default Re: 500NL LIVE: KK UTG+1

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Hi Matt,

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the AK kills the offered implied odds problem.


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I'm not sure what you mean by this. Do you mean that you aren't likely to stack off with AK when it misses or did you have something else in mind.



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just meant it makes it unprofitable or close to to set mine against you because when he hits the set he does not always get your stack.

the math was explained but got cut from PNL1. max effective odds vs. lrr are 10-to-1. you're 7.5-to-1 to hit a set or better. if > 1/3 of the time you hit you only get the continuation bet of say $100 instead of the full $450 then you're getting under 8-to-1 on your money effective odds wise. this sidesteps a couple cases like what happens on ace-high flops when lrr has kings - that is, it assumes set farmer doesn't take a big share of those pots, but remember when you fire on an ace-high flop and opponent has it you lose money so those balance a bit. so set farmer doesn't extract appreciably from the AA/KK/AK player. keep in mind set farmer has THE best hand to take against AA, a pocket pair. 76s will win more cold sims but 66 wins more money in practice.
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