Thread: Choosing lines
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Old 10-13-2007, 10:53 AM
rjp rjp is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Charleston, SC
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Default Re: Choosing lines
In the NFL you want -2.5 +105.

Assume Miami has a 57% probability of winning:

The EV of Miami -2.5 +105 is roughly 4% (see here)

The EV of Miami -3 +120 is roughly 0.4% (see here)
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