[Utah]

Bodog Prop I like:

Al Gore to announce he is running by November 1st. No -600. $300 to win $50

There is very little chance he is running. Reasons for no:

1) Even with the peace prize, his national approval ratings remain low.
2) Campaigns are about money and he has none.
3) The logics of setting up a campaign staff are nearly insurmountable.
4) He would have trouble getting on some ballots
5) His close friends are putting down any speculation. If he were to run I would think he would at least use his friends to float the idea
6) There is no detection of behind the scenes moves of setting up a presidential run
7) His movie and the lies in it would come under much more fierce attack if he were to run
8) He is too fat to be a president

Reasons for yes:
1) He personally has not denied it
2) He could use it as a platform to push his global warming agenda even if he knows he has no chance of winning.

I place the chances of him running at 5% or less. So, -600 has nice value. It is not a freebee though (not like the saw4 bet to clear $18m).