[bozzer]

grunch.

assuming tight 3b range. flop call is bad cos you don't have enough s/d equity unimproved, and any kind of aggression seems spewy.

turn is actually a possible spot for leading but that might be influenced by his check behind. i think a 2/3 lead *might* show a profit.

river is not terrible (your line makes sense) i just don't think he folds often enough (40%) but he might do.