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Old 10-12-2007, 12:35 AM
rzk rzk is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 647
Default Re: Every [censored] time

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he's not that aggressive

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It's impossible to know this without knowing WtSD and how many hands this is over. AF is useless over less then 5K (conservatively could be 10-20K) because of how slowly it converges. Without WtSD AF has no context. 1.14AF and 34 WtSD is passive. Same AF with 50 WtSD and 40 VPiP is agro.

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i've estimated that the standard deviation for flop AF is approximately 0.6 - 0.7 for a 100 hands sample, 0.2 for a 1000 hand sample, and 0.06 - 0.07 for a 10K hands sample. the standard deviation for the total AF should be around sqrt(2) or sqrt(3) smaller, so around 0.4 for 100 hands etc.

as for the effect of wtsd on aggression, i actually wrote up a little calculation on that for my 100th post. unfortunately i can't find it for some reason as the search only gives me my 200 latest posts. the bottom line was that the AF for a wtsd 45 guy should be adjusted by about 10% compared to a wtsd 35 guy.
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