Re: AK river laydown
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I dont know, this guy isnt a donk.
KQ and KJ are the only hands I beat here, though I would expect him to throw up a blocker not an almost pot sized bet on the river.
Also im 99% sure, he didnt call the flop with and it was drawless.
He also would of re-raised QQ or JJ preflop.
What we do agree on is the turn check behind would be better
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If he is that much of a rock that he would not call on the flop with a hand worse than TPTK (ie. he would not call unless he is ahead of you), give up after he calls.
However, a player this tight and predictible is very rare IMO, but you have a better read on him than I do. I still think your hand has showdown value and a turn check and call on the river is the best option. It is also possible that he was drawing to a straight that may or may not have come in on the turn.
I'm not folding this to any modest bet, but I'm also not putting more money than I have to.
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