Re: Child\'s QQ -v- Yang\'s JJ
Here's the action on the hand:
With 630K in blinds and antes, Childs raises preflop to 720k UTG with QQ. Yang re-raises UTG+1 to 2.5 million with JJ. Folds to Childs who calls.
Pot = 5.63 million
Flop = 7 4 2 (2 clubs)
Childs bets 3 million and Yang says "all-in" for 11.78 million before Childs finishes putting in his chips.
Pot = 19.41 million, 7.78 million to call (Childs covers, but apparently not by much).
That's 2.5:1, Childs needs 29% equity to call (ignoring the chip EV to money EV gap).
If Yang's range is (AA-QQ, AcKc) then it's a good fold:
Hold'em Simulation
13,860 trials (Exhaustive)
board: 7c4d2c
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
QsQh 13.46% 1,393 945
AA-QQ,AcKc 86.54% 11,522 945
Anything wider, and it's not:
Hold'em Simulation
19,800 trials (Exhaustive)
board: 7c4d2c
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
QsQh 36.24% 6,703 945
AA-JJ,AcKc 63.76% 12,152 945
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