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Old 10-09-2007, 01:56 PM
stinkypete stinkypete is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: lost my luckbox
Posts: 5,723
Default Re: all in luck calculator

[ QUOTE ]

Consider the effect of playing a set miner where 10% of your money goes in preflop with AA/KK and the rest goes in on the flop, but only if your opponent catches a set.

Under this scenario, your luck will be incorrectly magnified, as the portion of the pot that went in preflop will be counted as having the same equity as the flop, when in reality it does not. This will be even more pronounced for shorter stacks.


[/ QUOTE ]

this doesn't matter, because the times he doesn't hit his set you win 100% of the pot and the skews balance out.

leaving out the money that went on previous streets will reduce the magnitude of your calculated "luck" and hence has the same problems that the calculate-every-street method does, just on a smaller scale.
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