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Old 10-07-2007, 11:49 AM
Fonkey123 Fonkey123 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: University Park
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Default Re: NL200 TP and flush draw MW DEEP

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If he always has a set and always bet calls when we turn a flush.

.19 we turn flush and we win .78 when he doesn't house up of 746 for total pot .81 times 88 when we miss and fold turn then .19 times .22 times 746 when he houses it for a total ev of 8 bucks. Guess my math could be off, since I just made it up off of intuition and not a formula [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

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I'm in particular interested in the bolded part, which basically would mean that potsize of a pot we don't win would matter in terms of our ev.

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Huh, you don't count the times you make a flush and he redraws in your EV calc?

Anyway, I remember one of your other posts was wrong mathematically which is the only reason I'm dubious at all.

edit I guess that's already included in the leftmost calculation which would just stand to make it higher EV i'm just totally confused
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