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Old 10-06-2007, 03:25 PM
RobA RobA is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 161
Default Re: Full Tilt: 10/20 SH - Turn Decision 3 way -- caught in the middle

Tough Spot.

The flop seems like a clear bet/cap like you did. I think you usually should cap in spots like that on the flop to "make the rest of the hand easier to play". But in this case you did it, and now it doesn't seem very easy to play.

Your looking at 10.5-1 on the turn. Either Villain 1 or Villain 2 could have any of JT, or KJ, AJ, or maybe 22, or a straight or flush draw. I don't think TT or JJ is too likely because you closed the pre-flop action.

Your outs may, or may not, be tainted. You could have 8 outs vs. 2pair and a Q9 straight draw. You could be winning. You could be drawing dead vs. 98 and a set of TT or JJ. You could have 5 outs vs. a flush draw and 2 pair. I think all of this together equals call the turn because you need about 4 outs to justify a call in that size of a pot, and considering all the relative likelihood of the above combos you seem to have around that.

So call the turn. If there is a raise and re-raise behind youthen easy fold. If there is a raise by villan 2, and a call by villain 1 then I dunno, now your getting 14.5-1 to close the action, but I think your hand is now worth closer to 2-3 outs, so maybe fold this one too.
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