[Rococo]

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I think it's virtually a given that the're some sort of data mining/snooping bias in his models.

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I think that you are being charitable. I suspect that it is 95% datamining. Now sometimes the data collects around the bullseye, but not always, especially when the sample size is small, and the cutoffs are arbitrary.

I particularly love it when he says something like, "there is a strong angle for Week 3 bounceback home favorites laying 3 pts or less, but be careful if the line moves to 4, because the angle for bounceback home favorites laying 4 points or less is not nearly as strong."