Thread: Oh Boy....
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Old 10-05-2007, 02:00 PM
ALawPoker ALawPoker is offline
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Default Re: Oh Boy....

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What better indication is there?

[/ QUOTE ]Things that take into account the electoral college, polls that place Paul against any of the top tier Republicans, common sense.

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Right, betting lines ignore all those things.... [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]

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People who agree with the candidate overvalue him WAY more than supporters of a top tier candidate.

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You seem to be unfamiliar with what begs the efficiency of a betting market. While it's true that some people will always bet inefficiently, the mistake has negligible impact because the field of bettors is so limitless. The smart bettors will always, by betting more money until the inefficiency is gone, correct the errors of irrational bets.
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