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Old 10-04-2007, 03:51 PM
cowboy.up cowboy.up is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Happy Valley
Posts: 359
Default Re: Comments on dead even eV call?

I don't like the play on the flop at all. Even though he was drawing, evaulate his range with what he would push with and I think you're behind 90% of the hands. You need to have a sure read that he has air, and on a board like that, basically the only thing he *might* have is AQ, KQ and Q10 that you beat, everything else and you're drawing. As played fold to his flop raise, I don't see 50/50 on this hand not knowing his hole cards, it's more like 80/20 villains way (I don't have PStove on my work laptop to run the numbers but he could call preflop with virtually any PP, and if he's "mad" you're "dominating" with your below max-buyin stack then J10s+ would be in his range, so I'd say no it's not worth it.
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