NHL Futures (involving teams who have yet to open the season)
I've never really been one to document/post picks but I figured I'd do so here.
Generally speaking, I'm not a big fan of futures for the reasons most ppl aren't. Also, I'm not really a fan of betting hockey (even though I love the sport), just b/c it's such a [censored] to model relative to other sports.
However, I'm pretty confident I found some errant lines on Carib. I can explain my methodology for predicting season point totals if anyone cares, otherwise let's just get to the picks.
WASHINGTON - OVER 77.5 pts
PHOENIX - UNDER 71.5 pts
FLORIDA - OVER 84.5 pts
ATLANTA - UNDER 92.5 pts
I bet these on Carib and the max bet is only $300 [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] You can bet the same lines on Bodog up to $600, but no canucks allowed there, blah.
Word of warning - I pushed all these lines out to -125 betting the max, sorry.
Anyone who is on Bookmaker - I would also suggest hitting up Washington 15:1 to win the southeast for a nibble sized bet. IMO the true line should be ~7-8:1. FYI SIA has it at 9:1.
For anyone betting daily NHL gamelines, I would suggest really following the # penalty calls/game in the early going to see how tight the game is called. It will have an impact on over/unders and regulation time wins. The offence in this league is so power-play driven it's ridiculous (NHL defensive systems is a rant for another time and another forum)
|