Re: Did He Touch Home?
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vhawk,
It's not only percent of plays at the plates it percent of plays at the plates where the speed will swing if from being safe to being out.
Holliday is bigger he could force the catcher to drop some balls.
Holliday might stay at third on plays were a faster runner would go and get thrown out.
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Yeah, thats what I was trying to get at when I was talking about how big the speed edge is. So, if there are only going to be plays at the plate a few percent of the time, but Holliday is going to be out 80% and this fabled PR is going to score 100%, thats a bigger overall edge. But of course the edge is going to be much smaller than that. So, both quantity and quality are small edges, equaling an overall negligible advantage, especially compared to not having Holliday for the 14th, 15th and so on.
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