Re: Freerolling baby!
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If you get called and a spade doesn't hit, I think Full Tilt rakes ~10% of the resulting pot at these limits. So let's say you get called by K-x. ~20% of the time, you hit your flush, and make a bit more than $8. The rest of the time, you chop ~19.35, and the shove loses you about $1.
So it's a +EV move assuming your opponent has what you hope he has, and will call, though it's much more narrow than you might have been expecting because you aren't really free-rolling.
I still hate it, though. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
I think a better move would be a bet of about 2/3 a pot. You'll get called by a range of hands that have 3 outs to chop, can charge those hands again on the river, and if he is holding a K, you'll find out when he re-raises you. Either now, or on the river.
Shove then. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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Even if i bet pot on the turn and bet pot on the river, i make about $1 profit, IF i'm not splitting.
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