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Old 10-01-2007, 06:38 PM
Limpfold Limpfold is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 267
Default Re: Daliman\'s Wong teasers, Season Deux: Week 4

To put it short, I have a bet 980 to win 980 at the line New England -2.
I can hedge/middle with the line CIN +8.5 +100 (actually +105 now).
My EV of letting the bet ride is 431.2, my EV of betting 980 on CIN +8.5 100 is tons more, it breaks even if the chance of hitting the middle is 22%.
I suspect my numbers is a bit off though cos if they are accurate there should be tons of value in CIN +8.5.
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