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Old 09-30-2007, 09:37 PM
DonCologne DonCologne is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 190
Default Re: 2/4 Interesting Flop Decision

So the pot is 74$ at the flop. Early limper bets 74$, raiser reraises to 296$ and you will flat call? I think it is here more a shove or fold situation and in the worst case you shove, early limper folds and raiser calls with the nuts. You have now 38,81% equity. So you will loose in this situation 57,42$.

What happens if early limpers calls?

Your equity is in both pots 38,81% if both opponets holds j9**. For the 770$ main pot your equity is high enough for the 500$ side pot it is not.

In the main pot you will win 66,84$ in the side pot you will loose 55,95$. So push is here +EV if shortie holds J9. If he holds 2 pair+flush draw or set+(flushdraw) your equity is now only 28,13% if he has a set or 32,6% if he holds 2 pair+flushdraw.

Now you will loose 15,4$ or win 19,02$ in the main pot and loose 55,95$ in the side pot.

So I think in this situation fold>shove>call and I think between fold and shove it is closely, because the raiser will show here sometimes a lower set with the nutflushdraw you are in good shape against.
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