[Mondogarage]

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Personal pet-peeve/nit-pick:
Your argument would have a slightly better chance of appearing credible if you didn't refer to your favorite team as "we"
Unless you play for them or are a member of the Rockies front-office or something then I don't think they should be a "we" for you.

HOWEVER, your argument still isn't that hot:
Not that I believe that the LV lines are always efficient 100% of the time or anything like that. But saying that the gamblors are playing into a suckers-bet by taking Peavy is kind of silly.

Fogg has had 2 mediocre performances among his last 3. He is far from dominating:
Sept 19 vs. LAD 5ip, 8h, 3er
Sept 14 vs. FLA 5ip, 5h, 4er, 4bb, 3k

He had a 4 game stretch from Aug 27 through Sept 14 in which he walked 14 batters in 22ip.
Although he had 0 and 3 bb's in his last 2 starts so may be a little better now.

Peavy otoh is one of the best starters in the game and has been pretty dominating in his last 4.
Combined stats are 28.1ip, 17h, 6er, 6bb, 24k's.


Yes, COL may very well win this game. But Peavy is pretty darned good and saying that SD is somehow a sucker's bet because the Pads offense is so badly depeleted or whatever is kind of silly.

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Okay, Bob, let's nitpick. I never said Fogg was dominating. Far from it. He'd be our #5 starter if Cook, Lopez, and Hirsh hadn't gone down. And yes, I say our, because I attend quite a few games (tomorrow will be my 9th this year), buy quite a bit of merchandise, and feel quite invested in the team. If you don't like it, that's your issues, not mine.

Peavy is, naturally, the best pitcher in the NL. But the Padres were largely punchless (as a team) even before their recent injuries, the Rox bullpen is still the strongest in the NL since the break, and they only need to get 5-6 out of Fogg, tops.

So yeah, calling it a "sucker bet" was probably a bit strong. But Helton hits .375 against Peavy, Atkins hits .333, Hawpe hits .429, and Matt Holliday hits .400 against Peavy.

You still think the Rockies don't have much of a chance?