Re: Turned straight + overbet = Time for handreading?
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I'd say his most likely holding here are 88 and KQ.
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I think JT and T9 also play this way.
Why would KQ overbet the turn and try to scare people away? I mean, ya, maybe he's trying to get the pot a little bigger - but seems like an odd way to do it.
On the turn, I think 88 usually just calls here. I'd say his range is closer to JT,T9,KQ,87, maybe some sets, but not likely.
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.920% 31.42% 12.50% 553 220.00 { 9d8d }
Hand 1: 56.080% 43.58% 12.50% 767 220.00 { KQs, JTs, T9s, 87s, KQo, JTo, T9o, 87o }
Adding in 99,TT for sets only changes our equity by about 3%.
Man... I dunno... so close....
Do overpairs ever play like this? I think adding QQ-AA to his range easily pushes this to a call.
At the actual table, I don't see myself folding this.
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