[Lori]

Well my short run at the lead is over, the unbeaten streak came crashing down last week. YTD 9-3 +1400

214
118
108
112

$400 STL/DAL u46 #214

Reasonably keen on this as an actual bet. STL aren't the greatest at controlling the clock, but they'll still be taking their time early. If they fail to score on the first drive or two, I think DAL will close it out pretty convincingly.
If STL do score early, then we're going to have to just take our chance. I think Dallas' spectacular scoring so far has pushed the line up a little higher than it needs to be and it may well turn out come the end of the season that they haven't played anyone of note yet.
14-0 for Dallas early followed by clock munching is our ideal game here I think.

$300 49ers +1.5 #118

Wait. What? Well this line is rather far out from what I expected, which is of course a sign that I've marked it up incorrectly. However, the point of this competition is to live and die by my own pricing of course so I'm going for the 49ers.
I'd have these two teams pretty much even on a neutral field so I have to take points at home.
Maybe I haven't seen enough of Seattle and they're playing much better than reports and stats seem to imply, but I've seen enough of San Fran that if Seattle are significantly better than them, they're going to be a very good team this year, and I haven't seen any of that at all.

$200 Bills +3.5 #108

We're into the part where I can't find much I like at all now, but on an entirely square level it feels that it just can't be right to give the Jets points on the road to pretty anyone. They've looked like they've caught some disease from the Mets or something to me.
There was some sign of life from the Bills for 30 mins last week, they'll surely be up for this one as they're not going to get many chances to "impress" at home.


$100 Lions +2.5 #112

This week's hunch is that the Bears are not as good as is generally believed. I'd therefore be foolish not to take yet another home dog.

Lori