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Old 09-28-2007, 07:56 PM
Absolution Absolution is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 4,016
Default Re: 77 against a steal

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button raises puts you in the big blind here with 77 right? I dont care if the guys pfr% is 21 this is not a 3 bet out of the big blind, then having to play the hand OOP.

You should be looking more at his attempt to steal here I think, and then getting a range. Givin his 1.32 aggression factor though, it is much more likely that he hit this flop then is raising a draw.

If you are against his range of only 21% (as described as being important above) then your equity is only 44% on this flop. I could easily find a fold button here, and if I do call his raise, I'm folding most turns to another bet. 1.32 AF is simply too light to put this guy on a draw if he fires flop and turn.

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1.32 is aggressive from this guy. He has a VPIP of 40. For all you know, he could be 3 on the flop as well. This board is too coordinated to just give up on the flop. If the turn came the Jh, then I would consider giving up. In a blind defense though I'm not giving up easily.
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