Thread: Do i have +EV
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Old 09-28-2007, 01:20 PM
jay_shark jay_shark is offline
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Default Re: Do i have +EV

I'm assuming blinds are at initially 10/20 for the first 15 minutes , then increase to 15/30,25/50 and 50/100 . Let's say on average about 70 hands are dealt /hour or about 1.16hands /minute

You will lose a bb and sb once and sometimes twice depending on where you're sitting . Let's say you lose on average 45 bb's in the first 15 minutes . You will lose on average about 67.5 from 15-30 minutes ,about 112.5 from 30-45 and 225 from 45 to 60 minutes . In total you will lose about 45 + 67.5 + 112.5 + 225 = 450 bb's .

You will have about 2500-450=2050 chips left .The total number of chips in play will be about 20500 and so there is still quite a bit of overlay here .

ie , you will come in first approximately 2050/20500=10% of the time or $100 . Which means , even if we exclude your prize for coming in 2nd , 3rd , there is still overlay to this proposition .
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