Re: $115 NLTRN 66 gets shoved on 1st hand
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Yes you should fold , but I would call if I had 88+ .
If I guess that my hands wins more than 53% of the time against villains range , then I'm calling fast .
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why, unless you think that you two are equal in skill you should fold and just beat him in the long run, why take a coinflip when you should be the better player?
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If you are ahead it could be more +EV for you to take a flip while you are slightly ahead and get a new match started where you could outplay them.
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ok thankyou very much, i was only thinking in chip EV not $EV
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Soupy , actually you were thinking in terms of win % and not $/h which is what really matters .
Lets make the hypothetical assumption that your win rate is 60% and you average 15 minutes for each sng in the $100+$5 games . You profit 200*0.6-105=15/sng . This is equivalent to about $60/h .
If you call on the first hand as a 53% favorite , then you will profit 200*0.53-105=1/sng . Even if the hand took 1 minute , you will be averaging the same amount !!
The hand should take even less than a minute to complete which means you've improved your $/h while decreasing your win rate for this specific situation .
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