Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
I have a pick'm pool where points are assigned based on how bad teams are. Anyone wanna assign the likelyhood of Miami winning at home ? They are worth 9 points vs Dallas being worth 4. This seems like Miami's best chance to win at home (vs Oakland). I'm sure there's some EV calculation I can make here. If Dallas wins this 90% of the time and gives me 4 points, and Miami wins 60% of the time for 9 points (that sound about right ?), Isn't it a clear pick for Miami ?
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