Re: AKs, no cbet
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I just bet it, 40 looks good.
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I think every PP calls or raises this bet. I also think that every hand we dominate will fold or make a move, causing us to fold.
It's an ugly spot and c-betting is the easiest play, but not the most optimal.
I'd rather check-call. We give ourselves a chance to pair on the turn with very clean outs. Plus, he might check behind and continue checking until the river. Also, we can bluff certain opponents if a Queen or Jack hits.
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We give ourselves the same chance of hitting a pair by betting this flop and our bluffs on later streets are a lot more credible.
That said, I do agree with some of what you've said and I c/c here a certain percentage of the time. It's close to optimal against some opponents.
I also c/r against some, c/f against some and bet against some. Against this guy, looking at his stats only, I probably just bet it for value and may pay off a value bet/pick off a bluff somewhere along the way unimproved if I get called.
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