Re: Flop decision: what now??
I call
I'd put UTG on an overpair here with those stats I'd expect him to limp small PPs and only raise JJ+ & AK PF. He hasn't got the AK [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] so that just leaves JJ+.
CO is more worrying, if he's good his range PF will probably be wide like yours. I think his line leans towards sets but straights are possible to. Combo draws are unlikely in my opinion and the only suited [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] hand we're behind is 23 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
However with all the $ in the pot this doesn't matter imo.
He call with all his sets and made straights. Let's say his range is 44-66,78o,78s,23o,23s if he calls, anything else he just folds and leaves some dead money to fatten up the pot.
We've got more than enough equity in the pot if he calls.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
701,631 games 0.030 secs 23,387,700 games/sec
Board: 4h 5d 6d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.778% 42.06% 01.72% 295073 12084.50 { Ad7d }
Hand 1: 03.893% 03.43% 00.47% 24047 3269.00 { JJ+ }
Hand 2: 52.329% 50.61% 01.72% 355073 12084.50 { 66-44, 87s, 32s, 87o, 32o }
And If CO folds against UTG we're well ahead.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
20,790 games 0.005 secs 4,158,000 games/sec
Board: 4h 5d 6d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 60.390% 59.48% 00.91% 12366 189.00 { Ad7d }
Hand 1: 39.610% 38.70% 00.91% 8046 189.00 { JJ+ }
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