Re: Overpair in the middle
what is the average players for button's stats? if that is average 4 players he is a huge nit
I think AT should be discounted somewhat because of the flop action. capping AT there vs a preflop capper is an overplay imo unless you have a very aggressive image
I don't think a raise is good. SB will often have a T here. a bluff seems unlikely given the action. hero's hand still looks like AA. I can't fold vs a moron in a pot this big though, so I call and hope he is overplaying.
we would also need villain to have checked behind a better overpair on the turn. that's a bad move imo and I don't think a lot of players will do it.
so I don't think the overlay is big enough to make a raise correct
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