View Single Post
  #8  
Old 09-24-2007, 10:13 PM
yourface yourface is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 3,457
Default Re: Overpair in the middle

what is the average players for button's stats? if that is average 4 players he is a huge nit

I think AT should be discounted somewhat because of the flop action. capping AT there vs a preflop capper is an overplay imo unless you have a very aggressive image

I don't think a raise is good. SB will often have a T here. a bluff seems unlikely given the action. hero's hand still looks like AA. I can't fold vs a moron in a pot this big though, so I call and hope he is overplaying.

we would also need villain to have checked behind a better overpair on the turn. that's a bad move imo and I don't think a lot of players will do it.

so I don't think the overlay is big enough to make a raise correct
Reply With Quote