Re: 99.99890581% chance that cheaters were operating on Absolute?
In addition to the factors already mentioned, there is another problem with this argument. A cheater is not going to do most of his folding against top pairs.
Suppose he holds something like Q2. If someone holds Q with a higher kicker, he's in bad shape. There are 132 hands of Q with higher kicker, versus only 21 top pairs. Also, seeing a Q in someone's hand drastically reduces his chances of winning against other hands, even of the Q folds. Most important, if he's playing Q2 against Q7, it's virtually impossible for him to win when the other player has a good hand; the only time you make enough money to consider coming in with a disadvantage. Q2 against AA can win big if Q2 shows up on the board.
While a cheater may fold to a top pair, most of the time he folds, it will be to something other than a top pair.
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